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Early prediction of response to ADT plus ARPIs in mHSPC using interpretable machine learning on PSMA PET/CT: a real-world study.

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European journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging 📖 저널 OA 43.3% 2022: 3/10 OA 2023: 7/13 OA 2024: 6/14 OA 2025: 36/80 OA 2026: 70/163 OA 2022~2026 2026 Vol.53(5) p. 3007-3022 cited 1 Medical Imaging Techniques and Appli
TL;DR The explainable CatBoost-based model integrating quantitative PSMA PET/CT features demonstrated promising accuracy in predicting response to ADT plus ARPIs in mHSPC when combined with the CHAARTED classification, it facilitated risk stratification.
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PubMed DOI OpenAlex Semantic 마지막 보강 2026-05-01
OpenAlex 토픽 · Medical Imaging Techniques and Applications Cardiac Imaging and Diagnostics Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging

Wang Y, Yang Y, Qi L, Chen M, Hu S, Gao X

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The explainable CatBoost-based model integrating quantitative PSMA PET/CT features demonstrated promising accuracy in predicting response to ADT plus ARPIs in mHSPC when combined with the CHAARTED cla

🔬 핵심 임상 통계 (초록에서 자동 추출 — 원문 검증 권장)
  • 95% CI 0.765-0.961

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↓ .bib ↓ .ris
APA Yinzhao Wang, Yiquan Yang, et al. (2026). Early prediction of response to ADT plus ARPIs in mHSPC using interpretable machine learning on PSMA PET/CT: a real-world study.. European journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging, 53(5), 3007-3022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00259-025-07652-x
MLA Yinzhao Wang, et al.. "Early prediction of response to ADT plus ARPIs in mHSPC using interpretable machine learning on PSMA PET/CT: a real-world study.." European journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging, vol. 53, no. 5, 2026, pp. 3007-3022.
PMID 41276643 ↗

Abstract

[BACKGROUND] Reliable tools for early prediction of treatment response to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) plus novel androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPIs) in metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) remain lacking. This study aimed to develop and validate an interpretable machine learning model integrating [⁶⁸Ga]Ga-PSMA PET/CT-derived imaging features to predict response before therapy initiation.

[METHODS] In this real-world study, 212 de novo mHSPC patients undergoing [⁶⁸Ga]Ga-PSMA PET/CT were included. Eighteen imaging and eight clinical features were extracted. Three ensemble-based recursive algorithms were applied for feature selection, and six machine learning models were developed. SHAP analysis was used for interpretability. Model outputs were combined with CHAARTED-defined tumor burden for refined risk stratification.

[RESULTS] Ten key features were identified, including metastatic total lesion PSMA uptake (m_TL_PSMA), whole-body peak standardized uptake value (w_SUVpeak), and primary lesion mean standardized uptake value (p_SUVmean). CatBoost achieved the best performance (training AUC = 0.908; test AUC = 0.904; Kappa = 0.717). In a temporally independent validation cohort, the model yielded an AUC of 0.875 (95% CI: 0.765-0.961), sensitivity of 0.72, and specificity of 0.89. Combined with CHAARTED classification, the model stratified patients into prognostic groups: responders with low-volume disease had the best metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC)-free survival, while non-responders with high-volume disease had the worst outcomes.

[CONCLUSIONS] The explainable CatBoost-based model integrating quantitative PSMA PET/CT features demonstrated promising accuracy in predicting response to ADT plus ARPIs in mHSPC. When combined with the CHAARTED classification, it facilitated risk stratification. Prospective multicenter validation is required.

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