Integrated Machine Learning and Multi-Omics Identifies a Novel Molecular Signature for Improving the Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

[BACKGROUND] Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exhibits significant molecular heterogeneity and complex immune microenvironment, which to some extent limits the accuracy of prognosis assessment and the formulation of individualized treatment strategies. This study aims to identify immune-derived molecular signatures based on multi-omics data and machine learning methods for the prognosis prediction and risk stratification of HCC.

[METHODS] Based on weighted gene co-expression network analysis(WGCNA) and differential gene analysis,immune-derived molecular signature (IDMS) were screened in both single-cell and bulk transcriptomes. Prognostic model was constructed by multi-machine learning approachs. Subsequently, we investigated the differences in mutations, biological functions, and immune cell infiltration within the tumor microenvironment between the high- and low-risk groups.In addition, we comprehensively analyzed the drug sensitivity of IDMS and predicted potential drugs.

[RESULTS] We identified seven hub genes at the single-cell and bulk transcriptome levels. Based on multiple machine learning, we constructed a prognostic model that demonstrated excellent performance in predicting overall survival for patients with HCC. IDMS -integrated normograms provide a promising and quantitative tool for clinical risk management.Notably, a significant difference in microsatellite instability (MSI) was observed between the high- and low-risk groups. This indicates that patients in the high-risk group might have a better response to immunotherapy. Additionally, we predicted potential drugs targeting to these risk subgroups.

[CONCLUSION] Our research developed an IDMS that could serve as an effective tool for patient stratification management and prognosis prediction. This signature could provide a reference for immunotherapy for patients with HCC and improve their prognosis.