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Breast cancer mortality by age and race and/or ethnicity across counties in the United States, 2000-2019.

Journal of the National Cancer Institute 2026

Jayasekera J, Hooshmand S, Strassle PD, Schneider J, Mensah GA, Mensah L, George S, Kelly YO, Baumann MM, Li Z, McHugh TA, Celone M, Sylte DO, La Motte-Kerr W, Bhangdia K, Force LM, Murray CJL, Alvarez CS, Choi K, Mokdad AH, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Pérez-Stable EJ

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[BACKGROUND] We evaluated county-level variations in racial and/or ethnic disparities in breast cancer mortality rates across the U.S.

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APA Jayasekera J, Hooshmand S, et al. (2026). Breast cancer mortality by age and race and/or ethnicity across counties in the United States, 2000-2019.. Journal of the National Cancer Institute. https://doi.org/10.1093/jnci/djag103
MLA Jayasekera J, et al.. "Breast cancer mortality by age and race and/or ethnicity across counties in the United States, 2000-2019.." Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2026.
PMID 41934099

Abstract

[BACKGROUND] We evaluated county-level variations in racial and/or ethnic disparities in breast cancer mortality rates across the U.S. over a 20-year period.

[METHODS] Validated small-area estimation models were used to calculate breast cancer mortality rates by age and race and/or ethnicity among females across all U.S counties from 2000 to 2019. The estimates were corrected for misreporting of race and/or ethnicity on death certificates and age-standardized to the 2010 U.S. Census.

[RESULTS] Age-standardized national breast cancer mortality rates declined between 2000 to 2019, from 33.6 (95% Uncertainty Interval 33.4 to 33.9) to 24.8 (24.6 to 25.0) deaths per 100,000 females. However, there were variations in breast cancer mortality rates across racial and/or ethnic populations at the county level. For instance, 243 of 1,478 counties showed increasing breast cancer mortality rates from 2000 to 2019 among Latina females aged <50 years (absolute increase (median): 0.23 deaths per 100,000; maximum: 1.0). County-level patterns for American Indian/Alaska Native females aged 50 to 74 years showed increasing breast cancer mortality rates across 108 of 474 counties (median: 4.4 per 100,000; max: 17.5). The largest county-level increases were seen among American Indian/Alaska Native (184 of 474 counties; median: 15.2 per 100,000; max: 124.0) and Asian (589 of 667 counties; median: 14.1 per 100,000, max: 41.0) females aged ≥75 years.

[CONCLUSIONS] Despite a substantial decrease in overall breast cancer mortality rates across all female populations combined in the U.S., there were significant county-level variations in breast cancer mortality rates by race and/or ethnicity.

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