Is Stimulated Thyroglobulin Before Radioiodine Therapy a Useful Tool in Predicting Response to Initial Therapy in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma?

Thyroglobulin (Tg) is an important tool to evaluate the persistence and recurrence risk in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). We aimed to evaluate the correlation between pre-radioiodine therapy stimulated Tg (pre-RAI Tg) levels and the first response to treatment evaluation, and to establish a cut-off pre-RAI Tg threshold for predicting an initial excellent response. Retrospective cohort study of DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy and radioiodine therapy. Response to therapy was evaluated 6 to 24 months after initial therapy, and patients were classified as: excellent response (ER); indeterminate response (IndR) and incomplete response (IncR). Total patients: 166 among which 85.5% female with mean age of 47.6 ± 13 years. The ER had a significantly lower pre-RAI Tg in comparison to IndR (p<0.001) and IncR (p<0.001), and pre-RAI Tg were different between the IndR and IncR (p=0.02). A cut-off pre-RAI Tg value at 7.55ng/ml was obtained by receiver operating characteristics curve for differentiating ER from IndR and IncR. The area under curve was 0.832 (95% CI 0.76-0.91). In multivariate analysis, ATA low-risk (RR 1.61, 95% CI 1.06-2.43, p=0.025) and Tg below 7.55ng/ml (RR 2.17, 95% CI 1.52-3.10, p<0.001) were associated with ER. After a median of 7.4-year follow-up, 124 (74.7%) patients were allocated into ER, 22 (13.2%) into IndR, and 20 (12%) into IncR. In conclusion, pre-RAI Tg predicts first evaluation of treatment response. Pre-RAI Tg cut-off was a key predictor of initial excellent response to therapy and may be an important tool in the follow-up of DTC patients.