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[Changes in gastric cancer mortality in Peru before, during, and after the pandemic: a national interrupted time series analysisn].

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Revista de gastroenterologia del Peru : organo oficial de la Sociedad de Gastroenterologia del Peru 2025 Vol.45(4) p. 345-352
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Benites-Goñi H, Huayanay-Espinoza CA, Oviedo-Rios AG, Motta R, Castro V, Huicho L

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[INTRODUCTION] The diagnosis and treatment of gastric cancer may have been affected during the COVID-19 pandemic, ultimately influencing mortality from this disease.

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APA Benites-Goñi H, Huayanay-Espinoza CA, et al. (2025). [Changes in gastric cancer mortality in Peru before, during, and after the pandemic: a national interrupted time series analysisn].. Revista de gastroenterologia del Peru : organo oficial de la Sociedad de Gastroenterologia del Peru, 45(4), 345-352.
MLA Benites-Goñi H, et al.. "[Changes in gastric cancer mortality in Peru before, during, and after the pandemic: a national interrupted time series analysisn].." Revista de gastroenterologia del Peru : organo oficial de la Sociedad de Gastroenterologia del Peru, vol. 45, no. 4, 2025, pp. 345-352.
PMID 41530066 ↗

Abstract

[INTRODUCTION] The diagnosis and treatment of gastric cancer may have been affected during the COVID-19 pandemic, ultimately influencing mortality from this disease.

[OBJECTIVE] To evaluate changes in gastric cancer mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic years.

[MATERIALS AND METHODS] An interrupted time series analysis was conducted to assess changes in gastric cancer mortality. Data were obtained from the National Death Information System. Three periods were compared: pre-pandemic (2017-2019), pandemic (2020-2021), and post-pandemic (2022-2023). Segmented regression models were used.

[RESULTS] Before the pandemic, an average of 2,107 deaths per year was recorded. During 2020 and 2021, mortality increased by 39% and 118%, respectively. The highest peaks occurred between April and July 2020. An additional rise was observed during the early months of 2021. Although mortality progressively declined in 2023, pre-pandemic levels were not restored. The analysis showed that observed deaths consistently exceeded expected projections through late 2022.

[CONCLUSIONS] The COVID-19 pandemic generated a temporary but significant increase in gastric cancer-related mortality in Peru.

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