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Predicting the Unpredictable: Prognostic Role of Systemic Inflammatory Indices and Tumor Biology of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Gastric and Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer-Insights from a Systematic Review and Real-World Experience.

Journal of clinical medicine 2026 Vol.15(4)

Oyucu Orhan S, Orhan B, Çakır Y, Sali S, Caner B, Ocak B, Şahin AB, Deligönül A, Çubukçu E, Evrensel T

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Perioperative chemotherapy is the standard treatment for locally advanced gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma; however, substantial uncertainty remains regarding the optimal managemen

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BibTeX ↓ RIS ↓
APA Oyucu Orhan S, Orhan B, et al. (2026). Predicting the Unpredictable: Prognostic Role of Systemic Inflammatory Indices and Tumor Biology of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Gastric and Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer-Insights from a Systematic Review and Real-World Experience.. Journal of clinical medicine, 15(4). https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15041484
MLA Oyucu Orhan S, et al.. "Predicting the Unpredictable: Prognostic Role of Systemic Inflammatory Indices and Tumor Biology of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Gastric and Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer-Insights from a Systematic Review and Real-World Experience.." Journal of clinical medicine, vol. 15, no. 4, 2026.
PMID 41753172
DOI 10.3390/jcm15041484

Abstract

Perioperative chemotherapy is the standard treatment for locally advanced gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma; however, substantial uncertainty remains regarding the optimal management of non-responding patients and the prognostic relevance of biological and inflammatory biomarkers. This study aimed to determine, using real-world data integrated with a comprehensive literature review, whether long-term survival is driven primarily by the choice of chemotherapy regimen or by the tumor's intrinsic biological aggressiveness and the host's systemic inflammatory response. A retrospective analysis was performed of 43 patients with locally advanced gastric cancer who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Survival outcomes were stratified by regimen (FLOT versus non-FLOT) and analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods. The prognostic value of clinicopathological features and systemic inflammatory indices was assessed using multivariate Cox regression models to identify independent predictors of mortality. Although FLOT showed a trend toward improved overall survival (OS) (median not reached vs. 18.9 months), this difference did not reach statistical significance. Univariate analysis linked lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (HR = 4.17; = 0.003), pan-cytokeratin (panCK) (HR = 2.44; = 0.032), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) (HR = 1.73; = 0.027) with survival. To minimize overfitting, two multivariate models were constructed. The first confirmed LVI (HR = 7.32; < 0.001) and panCK (HR = 4.30; = 0.006) as independent prognostic markers. The second identified MLR (HR = 1.65; = 0.033) and panCK (HR = 2.42; = 0.034) as independent adverse factors. Our findings suggest a paradigm shift in prognostic assessment for locally advanced gastric cancer: therapeutic success appears to depend more on underlying tumor biology and the immune microenvironment than on any specific neoadjuvant regimen. High MLR and LVI serve as strong surrogate markers of a biologically aggressive, chemotherapy-resistant phenotype. Consequently, future clinical strategies should move beyond a "one-size-fits-all" chemotherapy approach and prioritize these biomarkers for risk stratification and personalization of multimodal therapy.

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